Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Turning the page: Obama, Iraq, and America

Marc Ambinder has a great annotation of President Obama's Oval Office address on the end of combat operations in Iraq. Worth a read. And worth watching. As a summer of mosque controversies, deepwater disasters, and bleak economic news comes to an end, even I have to admit to a bit of Obama fatigue and political indifference. Watching the president tonight... helped me to turn the page a bit on all of that.

I know tomorrow will offer more of the same as yesterday. But if we remember that ten years ago we all had different outlooks on the world than we now hold, we can hope that after another decade we'll be at a place that feels better than where we stand today.

(Video link)

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Quote of the day

After an online conversation with my friend Debby, I felt the need to find a quote. This is the one that resonated...
Pursue some path, however narrow and crooked, in which you can walk with love and reverence.
-- Henry David Thoreau

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Saturday, August 28, 2010

Biodiversity in under three minutes

Sunday, August 22, 2010

More on the mosque

Frank Rich takes the Fox News and the GOP to task for their hyped up controversy around the "Ground Zero" mosque cultural center:
THE “ground zero mosque,” as you may well know by now, is not at ground zero. It’s not a mosque but an Islamic cultural center containing a prayer room. It’s not going to determine President Obama’s political future or the elections of 2010 or 2012. Still, the battle that has broken out over this project in Lower Manhattan — on the “hallowed ground” of a shuttered Burlington Coat Factory store one block from the New York Dolls Gentlemen’s Club — will prove eventful all the same. And the consequences will be far more profound than any midterm election results or any of the grand debates now raging 24/7 over the parameters of tolerance, religious freedom, and the real estate gospel of location, location, location.
And I've been wondering for a week about the people behind this project... why haven't we heard more from them? The New York Times had an article yesterday on the imam whose brainchild has become such a hot potato:
[Abdul Rauf] watched his father, an Egyptian Muslim scholar, pioneer interfaith dialogue in 1960s New York; led a mystical Sufi mosque in Lower Manhattan; and, after the Sept. 11 attacks, became a spokesman for the notion that being American and Muslim is no contradiction — and that a truly American brand of Islam could modernize and moderate the faith worldwide.

In recent weeks, Mr. Abdul Rauf has barely been heard from as a national political debate explodes over his dream project, including, somewhere in its planned 15 stories, a mosque. Opponents have called his project an act of insensitivity, even a monument to terrorism.

In his absence — he is now on another Middle East speaking tour sponsored by the State Department — a host of allegations have been floated: that he supports terrorism; that his father, who worked at the behest of the Egyptian government, was a militant; that his publicly expressed views mask stealth extremism. Some charges, the available record suggests, are unsupported. Some are simplifications of his ideas.
If you're following this story, the Times piece is a must-read.

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Quote for the day

Of all the offspring of time, Error is the most ancient, and is so old and familiar an acquaintance, that Truth, when discovered, comes upon most of us like an intruder, and meets the intruder’s welcome.
-- Charles Mackay

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Monday, August 16, 2010

Where America and the Muslim world meet

I just read Ross Douthat's thoughtful column about two different conceptions of what it means to be an American. It struck a chord, particularly as I'm halfway through (and thoroughly engrossed in) Richard Perlstein's Nixonland, a nearly 900 page tome that traces the widening fissure between these two Americas during the Nixon years.

Douthat uses this lens to look at the current controversy over the proposed mosque that would be located near the World Trade Center site:
The first America tends to make the finer-sounding speeches, and the second America often strikes cruder, more xenophobic notes. The first America welcomed the poor, the tired, the huddled masses; the second America demanded that they change their names and drop their native languages, and often threw up hurdles to stop them coming altogether. The first America celebrated religious liberty; the second America persecuted Mormons and discriminated against Catholics.

But both understandings of this country have real wisdom to offer, and both have been necessary to the American experiment’s success. During the great waves of 19th-century immigration, the insistence that new arrivals adapt to Anglo-Saxon culture — and the threat of discrimination if they didn’t — was crucial to their swift assimilation. The post-1920s immigration restrictions were draconian in many ways, but they created time for persistent ethnic divisions to melt into a general unhyphenated Americanism.

The same was true in religion. The steady pressure to conform to American norms, exerted through fair means and foul, eventually persuaded the Mormons to abandon polygamy, smoothing their assimilation into the American mainstream. Nativist concerns about Catholicism’s illiberal tendencies inspired American Catholics to prod their church toward a recognition of the virtues of democracy, making it possible for generations of immigrants to feel unambiguously Catholic and American.
I agreed over the weekend with President Obama's comments about the mosque and its planners' right to build it. The president, however, is also pursuing a course with respect to a mostly Muslim part of the world which I don't support: a secret, shadow offensive against America's enemies--as he defines them--that relies on drones and cruise missiles rather than American boots on the ground. This approach can't be a long term path to U.S. security: it can only recruit the next generation of those willing to attack us.
Yet such wars come with many risks: the potential for botched operations that fuel anti-American rage; a blurring of the lines between soldiers and spies that could put troops at risk of being denied Geneva Convention protections; a weakening of the Congressional oversight system put in place to prevent abuses by America’s secret operatives; and a reliance on authoritarian foreign leaders and surrogates with sometimes murky loyalties....

The administration’s demands have accelerated a transformation of the C.I.A. into a paramilitary organization as much as a spying agency, which some critics worry could lower the threshold for future quasi-military operations. In Pakistan’s mountains, the agency had broadened its drone campaign beyond selective strikes against Qaeda leaders and now regularly obliterates suspected enemy compounds and logistics convoys, just as the military would grind down an enemy force.

For its part, the Pentagon is becoming more like the C.I.A. Across the Middle East and elsewhere, Special Operations troops under secret “Execute Orders” have conducted spying missions that were once the preserve of civilian intelligence agencies. With code names like Eager Pawn and Indigo Spade, such programs typically operate with even less transparency and Congressional oversight than traditional covert actions by the C.I.A.

And, as American counterterrorism operations spread beyond war zones into territory hostile to the military, private contractors have taken on a prominent role, raising concerns that the United States has outsourced some of its most important missions to a sometimes unaccountable private army.
And the more I read about the insanity of the Vietnam war in Nixonland, the more I see parallels in Afghanistan: billions of dollars spent on an objective made nearly impossible by the fact that it's an American, and not Afghani, one.

ONE OF THE MOST INTELLIGENT DISCUSSIONS I've heard recently about America's security in this post-911 world is this Talk of the Nation interview with former CIA official and historian Graham Fuller. From his book A World Without Islam, which argues that our relationship with the Middle East wouldn't be significantly different in the absence of Islam:
Washington — perhaps as many global powers have done in the past — uses what I might call the "immaculate conception" theory of crises abroad. That is, we believe we are essentially out there, just minding our own business, trying to help make the world right, only to be endlessly faced with a series of spontaneous, nasty challenges from abroad to which we must react. There is not the slightest consideration that perhaps US policies themselves may have at least contributed to a series of unfolding events. This presents a huge paradox: how can America on the one hand pride itself on being the world’s sole global superpower, with over seven hundred military bases abroad and the Pentagon’s huge global footprint, and yet, on the other hand, be oblivious to and unacknowledging of the magnitude of its own role — for better or for worse — as the dominant force charting the course of world events? This Alice-in-Wonderland delusion affects not just policy makers, but even the glut of think tanks that abound in Washington. In what may otherwise often be intelligent analysis of a foreign situation, the focus of each study is invariably the other country, the other culture, the negative intentions of other players; the impact of US actions and perceptions are quite absent from the equation. It is hard to point to serious analysis from mainstream publications or think tanks that address the role of the United States itself in helping create current problems or crises, through policies of omission or commission. We’re not even talking about blame here; we’re addressing the logical and self-evident fact that the actions of the world’s sole global superpower have huge consequences in the unfolding of international politics. They require examination.

There is a further irony here: How can a nation like the US, which expresses such powerful outpourings of patriotism and ubiquitous unfurling of the flag on all occasions, seem quite obtuse to the existence of nationalism and patriotism in other countries? Washington never fared very well in the Cold War in understanding the motives and emotions of the nonaligned world; it dismissed or even suppressed inconvenient local nationalist aspirations, thereby ending up pushing a large grouping of countries toward greater sympathy with the Soviet Union. This was a kind of strategic blindness that viewed other nations’ interests and preferences as something that needed to be hemmed in, or isolated. We have been obtuse toward nationalism and identity issues in the Middle East and have lumped it all into the basket of "Islam."
And this:
History did not begin with 9/11. Our dealings with the Middle East go back a long way. The attack on 9/11 was a violent, extremist, and outrageous act, but it was also almost a culmination of a preceding chain of events over many years. If we choose to see history beginning at 9/11 — whereby we suddenly become the sole justifiably aggrieved party, now authorized to bring vigilante justice to the world — then we will continue to do what we have been doing all along, with disastrous consequences evident to all.
Those words--history did not begin with 9/11--stuck in my head even before I began reading Nixonland. I'm a child of the 60s. My parents were hippies. I think I have a decent grasp of history. But over the last few days I've started to flesh out in my mind events that were remarkably hazy for all of their proximity to my childhood. The Vietnam War, the antiwar movement, and the '68 Democratic convention, for example, aren't just signposts anymore. And I have a clearer picture now of why issues like gun rights carry so much significance for conservatives.

I've long been familiar with the events of the 60s, yet I think I operated in a common illusion, one that most people experience. It's similar to the one that Fuller describes when he speaks of his "immaculate conception" theory of how governments see the world.

Deep down we all sort of imagine that history began with us.

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Saturday, August 14, 2010

Obama wades into the deep end...

President Obama speaks on the controversy surrounding efforts to build a mosque near Ground Zero in lower Manhattan. I agree with him on this. And given how unpopular this position is, you have to give him (and Michael Bloomberg) credit for standing up for what's right. Like the ACLU has found, there's often little gratitude for those who defend the rights of the outsider or the downtrodden. It's just amazing to me that people are willing to extend our freedoms only to those who are in favor, especially given how fickle public sentiment is.
But let me be clear. As a citizen, and as President, I believe that Muslims have the same right to practice their religion as everyone else in this country. And that includes the right to build a place of worship and a community center on private property in Lower Manhattan, in accordance with local laws and ordinances. This is America. And our commitment to religious freedom must be unshakeable. The principle that people of all faiths are welcome in this country and that they will not be treated differently by their government is essential to who we are. The writ of the Founders must endure.
Obama's raises the issues at the 2:27 mark.

(Video link)

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Monday, August 09, 2010

Portugal: a case study in renewable energy

In just five years, Portugal has boosted the amount of electricity it gets from renewable sources from 17% of its total to 45%. The New York Times reports on the winners and losers in the process and why it may be more difficult for the U.S.--with its vast reserves of coal and fragmented political process--to make the same switch. Reading the article did leave me with the feeling that America is becoming antiquated in certain respects: our size slows the pace of change, and the political tension between the states and the federal government makes decisive action difficult to achieve.

Read it here.

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Sunday, August 08, 2010

Ezra Klein on our slow recovery from the Great Recession

From today's Washington Post, a not terribly upbeat look at historical trends in economic recoveries:
This White House has "vilified industries," complains the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. America is burdened with "an anti-business president," moans the Weekly Standard.

Would that all presidents were this anti-business: According to the St. Louis Federal Reserve, corporate profits hit $1.37 trillion in the first quarter -- an all-time high. Businesses are sitting on about $2 trillion in cash reserves. Business spending jumped 20 percent last quarter and is up by 13 percent against 2009. And the Obama administration has cut taxes for small businesses and big ones alike. Maybe the president could be anti-me for a while. I could use the money.

The reality is that America's supposedly anti-business president has led an extremely pro-business recovery. The corporate community has recovered first, and best. The populist tone that conservative magazines and business groups decry is partly in reaction to this: As corporate America's position is getting better and better, the recovery is looking shakier and shakier. Unemployment is high. Housing looks perilously close to a double dip. Job growth is weak. Businesses aren't hiring. The 71,000 jobs the private sector added in July aren't sufficient to keep up with population growth, much less cut into the ranks of the unemployed.

That is the catch-22 of the recovery: Businesses will start hiring when the economy recovers. And the economy will start to recover when businesses start hiring.
And this:
Not all recessions are created equal. Recessions caused by financial crises take a lot longer to dig out of than their more common cousins. One is like the flu. The other, a car crash. When the flu goes away, you're good. When a collision spins to a stop, that's when the long, slow process of healing begins.

In "This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly," Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff study every financial crisis of the past 800 years. It's an exhaustive study, and its conclusions are depressing for a country that believes itself exceptional even in its suffering: We're not special.

If you consider unemployment, housing prices, government debt and the stock market, Rogoff says, "the U.S. is just driving down the tracks of a typical post-WWII deep financial crisis." In some areas, we're even a bit ahead of the game: Economic output usually falls by 9 percent. We held the drop to 4 percent.

Even the unevenness of our recovery is predictable. "Housing and employment come back much slower than equity and gross domestic product," Reinhart says. GDP usually falls for two years and then recovers. Equity can move even faster, which helps explain corporate America's rapid revival. But employment tends to fall for five years. And housing? That's usually a six-year slide.

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A geopolitical video history of the atomic bomb, 1945-1998

It starts slow, but the pace picks up...

(Video link)

More from The New Yorker.

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One big ice cube

Imagine an iceberg large enough to supply all the tap water used in the U.S. for four months.

That's what just fell off of Greenland and into the sea.

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The new normal... and finding happiness in it

The New York Times has more on the "new normal" (see also this other post which quotes Bill Gross):
But as expectations for the recovery diminish daily and joblessness shows no sign of easing — as the jobs report on Friday showed — a different view is taking hold. And with it, comes implications for policymaking.

The “new normal,” as it has come to be called on Wall Street, academia and CNBC, envisions an economy in which growth is too slow to bring down the unemployment rate, while the government is forced to intervene ever more forcefully in a struggling private sector. Stocks and bonds yield paltry returns, with better opportunities available for investors overseas.

If that sounds like the last three years, it should. Bill Gross and Mohamed El-Erian, who run the world’s largest bond fund, Pimco, and coined the phrase in this context, think the new normal has already begun and will last at least another three to five years.
And not surprisingly (or surprisingly, depending on your level of cynicism), Americans are adapting and re-discovering that what they spend their money on may bring them more happiness than how much of it they spend:
On the bright side, the practices that consumers have adopted in response to the economic crisis ultimately could — as a raft of new research suggests — make them happier. New studies of consumption and happiness show, for instance, that people are happier when they spend money on experiences instead of material objects, when they relish what they plan to buy long before they buy it, and when they stop trying to outdo the Joneses.

If consumers end up sticking with their newfound spending habits, some tactics that retailers and marketers began deploying during the recession could become lasting business strategies. Among those strategies are proffering merchandise that makes being at home more entertaining and trying to make consumers feel special by giving them access to exclusive events and more personal customer service.

While the current round of stinginess may simply be a response to the economic downturn, some analysts say consumers may also be permanently adjusting their spending based on what they’ve discovered about what truly makes them happy or fulfilled.
This was a interesting article, well worth a read.

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Ted Olson speaks about the Prop. 8 decision on Fox News

Here's a great interview with one of the lead attorneys for the plaintiffs in the Prop. 8 case:

(Video link, via Towleroad)

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Friday, August 06, 2010

Quote for the day

Fall seven times, stand up eight.
-- Japanese proverb

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Civil service woes

I'm not someone who instinctively bashes government employees. This article from today's New York Times, however, makes some important points about both sides of the argument over pensions and other benefits paid to workers on the taxpayers' dime:
There’s a class war coming to the world of government pensions.

The haves are retirees who were once state or municipal workers. Their seemingly guaranteed and ever-escalating monthly pension benefits are breaking budgets nationwide.

The have-nots are taxpayers who don’t have generous pensions. Their 401(k)s or individual retirement accounts have taken a real beating in recent years and are not guaranteed. And soon, many of those people will be paying higher taxes or getting fewer state services as their states put more money aside to cover those pension checks.

At stake is at least $1 trillion. That’s trillion, with a “t,” as in titanic and terrifying.
With deep cuts being made in public services across the country, it's hard for me to disagree with the notion that government employees have to share some of the burden. And I liked this point in today's article, offered as advice to retirees with government pensions who might be thinking about suing over potential changes to their benefits:
And if you’re a government retiree or getting close to the end of your career? Consider what it means to be a citizen in a community. And what it means to be civil instead of litigious, coming to the table and making a compromise before politicians shove it down your throat and you feel compelled to challenge them to a courthouse brawl.
We can either realize that we're all in this together, and act accordingly, or fight endless "me first" battles which ultimately no one will win.

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Wednesday, August 04, 2010

I'll say it again, I love Stephen Colbert

If the Founding Fathers were really worried about mortgage bundling or ATM fees, wouldn't they have said so in the Constitution?
-- Stephen Colbert

The Colbert ReportMon - Thurs 11:30pm / 10:30c
Consumer Protection Agency - Barney Frank
http://www.colbertnation.com/
Colbert Report Full Episodes2010 ElectionFox News

(Video link)

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A big win in California

For some analysis of today's federal court ruling that California's Proposition 8 is unconstitutional, see here and here.

Judge Vaughn Walker's ruling was a strong one, relying on both the Due Process and Equal Protection arguments:
Plaintiffs have demonstrated by overwhelming evidence that Proposition 8 violates their due process and equal protection rights and that they will continue to suffer these constitutional violations until state officials cease enforcement of Proposition 8. California is able to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples, as it has already issued 18,000 marriage licenses to same-sex couples and has not suffered any demonstrated harm as a result,see FF 64-66; moreover, California officials have chosen not to defend Proposition 8 in these proceedings.

Because Proposition 8 is unconstitutional under both the Due Process and Equal Protection Clauses, the court orders entry of judgment permanently enjoining its enforcement; prohibiting the official defendants from applying or enforcing Proposition 8 and directing the official defendants that all persons under their control or supervision shall not apply or enforce Proposition 8.
The Judge also issued a temporary stay through Friday while both sides enter motions on the issue of a longer stay while the case is appealed.

Here's Ted Olson, a lawyer for the plaintiffs, talks about the victory:

(Video link)

More reaction at The Daily Dish.

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Tuesday, August 03, 2010

Oligarchy: a five part series

Michael Ventura is one of my favorite columnists. He's erratic and unpredictable. Sometimes I think his insights are brilliant. Other times I'm not really that interested in what he has to say.

He writes Letters at 3am for the Austin Chronicle, and I've just caught up on what has been on his mind this year; in particular, a five part series on what he describes as America's descent into oligarchy.

There are likely paragraphs you'll disgree with, or which will make you cringe, or even elicit whatever knee jerk reaction fits your own personality. I experienced all of that.

But there are also some truths in there, especially in the second column of the series in which Ventura argues that we're all responsible for what America has become:
The growth of the American Oligarchy has been building for decades, and we've been its enablers.

When I was a boy in Brooklyn we shopped at Jack's Delicatessen. Jack was someone we knew and liked. When we ran short of money, Jack let us buy groceries "on the tab." He knew us. He trusted us to pay that tab. Most of us were good for it. Jack lived where we lived. He was our neighbor. Money spent at Jack's stayed in the neighborhood, and Jack and his kind had a stake in keeping our streets as decent as possible.

Then a shiny big supermarket came to the neighborhood with a bigger variety of products that cost less. Not much less. A nickel, a quarter. We didn't know who owned the supermarket, and we didn't ask. They didn't run tabs like Jack did, but it was all so shiny, and it was a little cheaper. We abandoned Jack, who'd been our friend. To save nickels and quarters, we abandoned him. Oh, we still went to Jack's, but not as often. Small businesses have slim profit margins. If customers come in "not as often," there goes the profit margin. There goes Jack. Now our money leaves the neighborhood. There goes the neighborhood. We "saved" our way out of the possibility of community.

By the 1990s, Wal-Mart was doing that to whole towns. Barnes & Noble and Borders did that to independent bookstores. Whole Foods did that to small health-food stores. Chains like McDonald's and Starbucks did that to Joe's Diner and Sally's Breakfast Nook. (Starbucks didn't even have to sell cheaply; it merely had to be convenient.) Detroit automakers invented "warranties" to have your car serviced at their outlets; indy garages went broke. Agribusiness did it to family farms. And each time we buy an item online when it's available at a local store, we're doing it all over again.

With every local business we abandoned, with every dime or dollar we saved, we bought into a system that had no need of community. No need of us, except purely as consumers. Once that system was established, we had nowhere else to go. We still need what we need, but when we buy it our money is siphoned to a capital-"E" Elsewhere that, over time, became capital-"O" Oligarchy. With globalization, the biggest firms not only no longer needed our communities, they no longer needed our country.

So while it would be easier to a) not read any of this, b) dismiss it out of hand, or c) attempt to rip it to shreds, you might then wonder, isn't that how we got into this situation? If you're not happy about how things are, would it be worth your time to consider another point of view?

I'm reminded of the great sociology course I took in Las Vegas with Jane Heenan in 2008. Every one of us walked into that classroom with the belief that we saw our world pretty clearly. I'm pretty damned sure we all left at the end of the term with a new perspective on what might really be going on. But to get from here to there, we had to be willing to give up some of our certainty about the assumptions we'd been living with.

The point is not to read this and simply agree with it. The point it to think and ask questions. As Ventura notes in the first of these columns, quoting Thomas Pynchon from Gravity's Rainbow, "If they can get you asking the wrong questions, they don't have to worry about the answers."

Here are links to the whole series:
  1. 'Oligarchy' is a big, bad word that defines the country we still call a republic
  2. The American Oligarchy has been growing for decades, and we've been its enablers
  3. The isolation of the Professional Tier is the single most destructive element in American society today
  4. 'Am I my brother's keeper?' is the fundamental question of government
  5. Society is created by a mass of individual choices

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Data on this recession

From the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
The Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank has published data, including interactive graphs, which illustrate just how bad this Great Recession has been.

Sigh. :-/

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One more reason to breast feed

Turns out that up to a fifth of breast milk is indigestible for an infant. So what are those complex sugars doing? Some serve as food for a strain of bacteria that coats the newborn's gut. Others mimic the surface structure of the intestines, tricking undesirable bacteria into attaching to them and thereby sweeping them out of the digestive system. Together these effects help protect the baby at a time when his or her immune system is still very undeveloped.

Amazing.

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